Go Lean Commentary
Category 5 …
… that term has become one of the most dreaded phases in modern times in the Western Hemisphere, and especially in the Caribbean.
A Category 5 Hurricane – with its maximum sustained winds in excess of 156 miles per hour – is the Sum of All of Our Fears and a Clear & Present Danger. (See the full list of their historicity in the Appendix below). The most powerful one on record featured 215 mph winds – Hurricane Patricia – was just recently in October 2015 off the coast of Mexico.
Hurricanes – tropical cyclones in the Atlantic Ocean and Eastern Pacific Ocean – are the exclusive brand for the Northern Hemisphere. Considering the rotation of the earth, the majority travel East to West, from Africa over to North America. That’s the majority; but the minority is nothing to ignore either. These can start in the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico and travel at will: north, south, east, or west.
Welcome to our Caribbean, the greatest address on the planet!
Hurricanes are our reality. A hurricane is a meteorological phenomena that cannot be ignored; its science is a marvel.
Hurricanes are scientifically measured by the Saffir–Simpson scale. This scale was developed in 1971 by civil engineer Herbert Saffir and meteorologist Robert Simpson, who at the time was director of the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC).[1] The scale was introduced to the general public in 1973,[2] and saw widespread use after a new Director Neil Frank replaced Mr. Simpson in 1974 at the helm of the NHC, as a tribute to Mr. Simpson.[3]
See full details on this hurricane scale here:
Title: Saffir–Simpson Scale
The Saffir–Simpson hurricane wind scale, formerly the Saffir–Simpson hurricane scale (SSHS), classifies hurricanes –Western Hemisphere tropical cyclones that exceed the intensities of tropical depressions, and tropical storms – into five categories distinguished by the intensities of their sustained winds. To be classified as a hurricane, a tropical cyclone must have maximum sustained winds of:So the highest classification in the scale, Category 5, is reserved for storms with winds exceeding 156 mph (70 m/s; 136 kn; 251 km/h). [There have been a number of these since 1924. See full list in the Appendix below].
The classifications can provide some indication of the potential damage and flooding a hurricane will cause upon landfall.
Officially, the Saffir–Simpson hurricane wind scale is used only to describe hurricanes forming in the Atlantic Ocean and northern Pacific Ocean east of the International Date Line. Other areas use different scales to label these storms, which are called “cyclones” or “typhoons“, depending on the area.
There is some criticism of the SSHS for not taking rain, storm surge, and other important factors into consideration, but SSHS defenders say that part of the goal of SSHS is to be straightforward and simple to understand.
Source: Wikipedia Online Reference – Retrieved October 7, 2016 from: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saffir%E2%80%93Simpson_scale
We are thankful to these two pioneering scientists, Mr. Saffir and Mr. Simpson; they lived full and impactful lives – R.I.P..
Mr. Simpson died on December 18, 2014 at age 102.
Mr. Saffir died on November 21, 2007 at age 90.
These scientists have given us the numbers 1 through 5 to indicate an extent of our misery. But misery is more than just a number. Misery is an experience; an unpleasant one. See here the VIDEO visually depicting damage along the Saffir-Simpson scale:
VIDEO – Why Hurricane Categories Make a Difference – https://youtu.be/lqfExHpvLRY
Published on Aug 8, 2013 – During a hurricane you usually hear meteorologists refer to its intensity by categories. If you don’t know the difference between a category 1 and a category 5 hurricane, The Weather Channel meteorologist Mark Elliot breaks it down for you.
Hurricanes are reminders that “Crap Happens“. They affect the everyday life for everyday people. This discussion is presented in conjunction with the book Go Lean … Caribbean. It addresses the challenges facing life in the Caribbean and then presents strategies, tactics and implementations for optimizing the regional community.
Hurricanes are a product of ‘Mother Nature’ – natural disasters – but communities can be more efficient and effective in mitigating the risks associated with these natural disasters (hurricanes, earthquakes, volcanoes, floods, forest fires, etc.). In addition, there are bacterial & viral pandemics. Lastly, there are industrial incidents (chemical & oil spills) and other man-made disasters: i.e. terrorism-related events.
The Go Lean book asserts that bad things (and bad actors), like hurricanes, will always emerge to disrupt the peace and harmony in communities. Crap Happens … therefore all Caribbean member-states need to be “on guard” and prepared for this possibility. The Go Lean book (Page 23) prepares the Caribbean for many modes of “bad things/actors” with proactive and reactive mitigations. This point is pronounced early in the book with the opening Declaration of Interdependence (Page 12) that claims:
i. Whereas the earth’s climate has undeniably changed resulting in more severe tropical weather storms, it is necessary to prepare to insure the safety and security of life, property and systems of commerce in our geographical region. As nature recognizes no borders in the target of its destruction, we also must set aside border considerations in the preparation and response to these weather challenges.
ii. Whereas the natural formation of the landmass for our lands constitutes some extreme seismic activity, it is our responsibility and ours alone to provide, protect and promote our society to coexist, prepare and recover from the realities of nature’s occurrences.
x. Whereas we are surrounded and allied to nations of larger proportions in land mass, populations, and treasuries, elements in their societies may have ill-intent in their pursuits, at the expense of the safety and security of our citizens. We must therefore appoint “new guards” to ensure our public safety and threats against our society, both domestic and foreign. The Federation must employ the latest advances and best practices … to assuage continuous threats against public safety.
xii. Whereas the legacy in recent times in individual states may be that of ineffectual governance with no redress to higher authority, the accedence of this Federation will ensure accountability and escalation of the human and civil rights of the people for good governance, justice assurances, due process and the rule of law. As such, any threats of a “failed state” status for any member state must enact emergency measures on behalf of the Federation to protect the human, civil and property rights of the citizens, residents, allies, trading partners, and visitors of the affected member state and the Federation as a whole.
xvi. Whereas security of our homeland is inextricably linked to prosperity of the homeland, the economic and security interest of the region needs to be aligned under the same governance. Since economic crimes, including piracy and other forms of terrorism, can imperil the functioning of the wheels of commerce for all the citizenry, the accedence of this Federation must equip the security apparatus with the tools and techniques for predictive and proactive interdictions.
So the Go Lean book relates that the Caribbean must appoint “new guards”, or a security apparatus, to ensure public safety and to include many strategies, tactics and implementations considered “best-practices” for Emergency Management (Preparation and Response). We must be on a constant vigil against these “bad actors”, man-made or natural. The Go Lean book serves as a roadmap for the introduction and implementation of the technocratic Caribbean Union Trade Federation (CU).
The Go Lean/CU roadmap has a focus of optimizing Caribbean society through economic empowerment, and homeland security. Emergency preparedness and response is paramount for this quest. In fact, the Go Lean roadmap has the following 3 prime directives:
- Optimization of the economic engines in order to grow the regional economy to $800 Billion & create 2.2 million new jobs.
- Establishment of a security apparatus – a new guard – to protect the resultant economic engines and the Caribbean homeland.
- Improvement of Caribbean governance to support these engines.
The CU would serve as the “new guard“, a promoter and facilitator of all the Emergency Management agencies in the region. The strategy is to provide a Unified Command and Control for emergency operations to share, leverage and collaborate the “art and science” of this practice across the whole region.
The regional vision is that all Caribbean member-states empower a CU Homeland Security force to execute a limited scope on their sovereign territories. The legal basis for this empowerment is a Status of Forces Agreement (SOFA), embedded in the CU treaty from Step One/Day One. The CU Trade Federation would lead, fund and facilitate the Emergency Management functionality under the oversight of a regionally elected Commander-in-Chief for the CU.
As cited above, the Caribbean is the “greatest address on the planet”, but there is risk associated with living deep in a tropical zone. With the reality of Climate Change, we must not be caught unprepared.
In our immediate past, the Caribbean region has failed at the need for readiness and response. We have even failed to properly coordinate the “cry for help” and the collection of international-charitable support. We have suffered dire consequences as a result: loss of life, damage to property, disruption to economic systems, corruption … and abandonment. Many of our citizens have fled their Caribbean homeland, as a result, after each natural disaster. We have even created Ghost Towns.
We want something better, something more. We want our people to prosper where they are planted in the Caribbean. So as a community, we must provide assurances. No assurance that there will be no hurricanes, but rather the assurance that we can respond, recover, repair and rebuild:
“Yes, we can … “.
The Go Lean book details the series of community ethos, strategies, tactics, implementations and advocacies to provide the proactive and reactive public safety/security in the Caribbean region:
Community Ethos – Economic Systems Influence Individual Choices | Page 21 |
Community Ethos – Consequences of Choices Lie in Future | Page 21 |
Community Ethos – “Crap” Happens | Page 23 |
Community Ethos – Cooperatives | Page 25 |
Community Ethos – Ways to Impact the Future | Page 26 |
Community Ethos – Ways to Improve Sharing | Page 35 |
Community Ethos – Ways to Promote Happiness | Page 36 |
Community Ethos – Ways to Impact the Greater Good | Page 37 |
Strategy – Vision – Confederating a non-sovereign permanent union | Page 45 |
Strategy – Agents of Change – Climate Change | Page 57 |
Tactical – Fostering a Technocracy | Page 64 |
Tactical – How to Grow the Economy – Recover from Disasters | Page 70 |
Tactical – Separation of Powers – Homeland Security Department | Page 75 |
Tactical – Separation of Powers – Emergency Management Agency | Page 76 |
Tactical – Separation of Powers – Meteorological and Geological Service | Page 79 |
Implementation – Ways to Pay for Change | Page 101 |
Implementation – Start-up Homeland Security Initiatives | Page 103 |
Implementation – Ways to Re-boot Freeport | Page 112 |
Implementation – Ways to Foster International Aid | Page 115 |
Planning – 10 Big Ideas – #3: Consolidated Homeland Security Pact | Page 130 |
Planning – Ways to Make the Caribbean Better | Page 131 |
Planning – Ways to Improve Failed-State Indices – Escalation Role | Page 134 |
Advocacy – Ways to Grow the Economy – Quick Disaster Recovery | Page 151 |
Advocacy – Ways to Improve Governance | Page 168 |
Advocacy – Ways to Better Manage the Social Contract | Page 170 |
Advocacy – Ways to Improve Homeland Security | Page 180 |
Advocacy – Ways to Improve Intelligence Gathering & Analysis | Page 182 |
Advocacy – Ways to Improve for Natural Disasters | Page 184 |
Advocacy – Ways to Improve for Emergency Management | Page 196 |
Advocacy – Ways to Impact Wall Street – Adopt Advanced Recovery Products | Page 200 |
Other subjects related to Emergency Management, Homeland Security and governing empowerments for the region have been blogged in other Go Lean…Caribbean commentaries, as sampled here:
http://www.goleancaribbean.com/blog/?p=9070 | Securing the Homeland – From the Seas |
http://www.goleancaribbean.com/blog/?p=9038 | Doing Better with Charity Management |
http://www.goleancaribbean.com/blog/?p=7896 | The Logistics of Disaster Relief |
http://www.goleancaribbean.com/blog/?p=7449 | The Art and Science of Emergency Management |
http://www.goleancaribbean.com/blog/?p=7327 | Zika – An Epidemiology Crisis – A 4-Letter Word |
http://www.goleancaribbean.com/blog/?p=7235 | Flint, Michigan – A Cautionary Tale |
http://www.goleancaribbean.com/blog/?p=6893 | A Meteorologist’s View On Climate Change |
http://www.goleancaribbean.com/blog/?p=6563 | Lessons from Iceland – Model of Recovery |
http://www.goleancaribbean.com/blog/?p=6189 | A Lesson in History – Hurricane ‘Katrina’ is helping today’s crises |
http://www.goleancaribbean.com/blog/?p=4741 | Vanuatu and Tuvalu Cyclone – Inadequate response to human suffering |
http://www.goleancaribbean.com/blog/?p=2614 | The ‘Great ShakeOut’ Earthquake Drill / Planning / Preparations |
http://www.goleancaribbean.com/blog/?p=2397 | Stopping a Clear and Present Danger: Ebola |
http://www.goleancaribbean.com/blog/?p=1817 | Caribbean grapples with intense new cycles of flooding & drought |
The Caribbean is on the frontline of this battle: man versus Climate Change. While we are not the only ones, we have to be accountable and responsible for our own people and property. The book Go Lean…Caribbean posits that this “Agent of Change” is too big for just any one member-state to tackle alone, that there must be a regional solution; and presents this roadmap.
Climate Change has produced winners (consider northern cities with milder than normal winters) and losers. The Caribbean has found itself on the losing side. This means life-and-death for the people and the economic engines of the Caribbean communities.
While hurricanes are our reality, there is a science to these meteorological phenomena, and an art to our response. We can plan, monitor, alert, prepare and recover. We can do it better than in the recent past. We can provide assurances that “no stone” will be unturned in protecting people, property and systems of commerce. The watching world – our trading partners – needs this assurance!
The people and institutions of the region are therefore urged to lean-in to this Go Lean roadmap to make the Caribbean a better, safer, place to live, work and play. This plan is conceivable, believable and achievable. Yes, we can. 🙂
Download the book Go Lean … Caribbean – now!
Sign the petition to lean-in for this roadmap for the Caribbean Union Trade Federation.
————–
Appendix – List of Category 5 Atlantic Hurricanes
Storm |
Season |
Dates as a |
Time as a |
Peak one-minute |
Pressure |
||
mph |
km/h |
hPa |
inHg |
||||
Matthew | 2016 | September 30 – October 1 | 6 | 160 | 260 |
934 |
27.58 |
Felix | 2007 | September 3–4† | 24 | 175 | 280 |
929 |
27.43 |
Dean | 2007 | August 18–21† | 24 | 175 | 280 |
905 |
26.72 |
Wilma | 2005 | October 19 | 18 | 185 | 295 |
882 |
26.05 |
Rita | 2005 | September 21–22 | 24 | 180 | 285 |
895 |
26.43 |
Katrina | 2005 | August 28–29 | 18 | 175 | 280 |
902 |
26.64 |
Emily | 2005 | July 16 | 6 | 160 | 260 |
929 |
27.43 |
Ivan | 2004 | September 9–14† | 60 | 165 | 270 |
910 |
26.87 |
Isabel | 2003 | September 11–14† | 42 | 165 | 270 |
915 |
27.02 |
Mitch | 1998 | October 26–28 | 42 | 180 | 285 |
905 |
26.72 |
Andrew | 1992 | August 23–24† | 16 | 175 | 280 |
922 |
27.23 |
Hugo | 1989 | September 15 | 6 | 160 | 260 |
918 |
27.11 |
Gilbert | 1988 | September 13–14 | 24 | 185 | 295 |
888 |
26.22 |
Allen | 1980 | August 5–9† | 72 | 190 | 305 |
899 |
26.55 |
David | 1979 | August 30–31 | 42 | 175 | 280 |
924 |
27.29 |
Anita | 1977 | September 2 | 12 | 175 | 280 |
926 |
27.34 |
Edith | 1971 | September 9 | 6 | 160 | 260 |
943 |
27.85 |
Camille | 1969 | August 16–18† | 30 | 175 | 280 |
900 |
26.58 |
Beulah | 1967 | September 20 | 18 | 160 | 260 |
923 |
27.26 |
Hattie | 1961 | October 30–31 | 18 | 160 | 260 |
920 |
27.17 |
Carla | 1961 | September 11 | 18 | 175 | 280 |
931 |
27.49 |
Janet | 1955 | September 27–28 | 18 | 175 | 280 |
914 |
27.0 |
Carol | 1953 | September 3 | 12 | 160 | 260 |
929 |
27.43 |
“New England” | 1938 | September 19–20 | 18 | 160 | 260 |
940 |
27.76 |
“Labor Day” | 1935 | September 3 | 18 | 185 | 295 |
892 |
26.34 |
“Tampico” | 1933 | September 21 | 12 | 160 | 260 |
929 |
27.43 |
“Cuba–Brownsville” | 1933 | August 30 | 12 | 160 | 260 |
930 |
27.46 |
“Cuba” | 1932 | November 5–8 | 78 | 175 | 280 |
915 |
27.02 |
“Bahamas” | 1932 | September 5–6 | 24 | 160 | 260 |
921 |
27.20 |
San Felipe II-“Okeechobee” | 1928 | September 13–14 | 12 | 160 | 260 |
929 |
27.43 |
“Cuba” | 1924 | October 19 | 12 | 165 | 270 |
910 |
26.87 |
Reference=[1] †= Attained Category 5 status more than once |
Source: Retrieved October 7, 2016 from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Category_5_Atlantic_hurricanes